Alaves

2 - 3

Valladolid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.