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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Atletico

Garcia (85')
Lejeune (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent form has been excellent, and it would be fair to say that confidence in the camp is very high. Rayo are not losing many games at the moment, but Atletico's results over the last few months are difficult to ignore, and we are predicting a narrow away success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
27.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.69% (0.169 0.17) 44.55% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.582 -0.58)59.05% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.454 -0.45)79.51% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.307 -0.31)37.2% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.303 -0.3)73.98% (0.303 0.3)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.36099999999999 -0.36)26.4% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.483 -0.48)61.56% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 27.76%
    Atletico Madrid 44.54%
    Draw 27.69%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 13.07% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.71% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
9.0%
Draw
10.1%
Atletico Madrid
80.9%
89
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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