Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
27.76% ( 0.02) | 27.69% ( 0.17) | 44.55% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% ( -0.58) | 59.05% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% ( -0.45) | 79.51% ( 0.45) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.31) | 37.2% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.3) | 73.98% ( 0.3) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0.36) | 26.4% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( -0.48) | 61.56% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |