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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
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Real Madrid
3 - 2
Barcelona

Junior (18' pen.), Vazquez (73'), Bellingham (90+1')
Camavinga (34'), Junior (75'), Modric (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Christensen (6'), Lopez (69')
Kounde (75'), Cubarsi (90')

The Match

Match Report

Jude Bellingham scores a late winner to fire Real Madrid to a 3-2 win over Barcelona in Sunday's El Clasico at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Barcelona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Barcelona.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Real Madrid (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Barcelona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
51.79% (0.199 0.2) 22.15% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.06% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 62.53% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93% (-0.434 -0.43)37.07% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.73% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)59.26% (0.472 0.47)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)14.52% (0.089 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.171 -0.17)42.55% (0.171 0.17)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.404 -0.4)26.85% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.534 -0.53)62.15% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 51.79%
    Barcelona 26.06%
    Draw 22.15%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.06%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid
65.5%
Draw
15.9%
Barcelona
18.6%
264
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 7pm
Final
Real Madrid
4-1
Barcelona
Junior (7', 10', 39' pen.), Rodrygo (64')
Bellingham (43'), Rudiger (62')
Lewandowski (33')
Araujo (37'), Roberto (39')
Araujo (71')
> Match Report
Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
Gundogan (6')
Lopez (17'), Torres (45+2')
Bellingham (68', 90+2')
Carvajal (61')
> Match Report
Jul 29, 2023 10pm
Club Friendlies
Barcelona
3-0
Real Madrid
Dembele (15'), Lopez Marin (85'), Torres (90+1')
de Jong (41'), Kounde (62'), Romeu (71')

Tchouameni (25'), Camavinga (34'), Carvajal (45+3'), Alaba (81')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Barcelona
0-4
Real Madrid
Junior (45+1'), Benzema (50', 58', 80')
> Match Report
Mar 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Barcelona
2-1
Real Madrid
Roberto (45'), Kessie (90+2')
Araujo (9' og.)
> Match Report
Build-up
Real Madrid's David Alaba celebrates their first goal on September 2, 2023
Real Madrid injury update vs. Barcelona - duo out for Los Blancos
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Barcelona.
Apr 18, 10:22
 Barcelona's Alejandro Balde on March 2, 2023
Barcelona injury, suspension update vs. Real Madrid - duo set to return to squad
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Real Madrid.
Apr 18, 10:31
 Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring with Vinicius Junior and teammates against Manchester City on April 17, 2024
Real Madrid 'sweating over fitness of key player for El Clasico'
Real Madrid forward Vinicius Junior emerges as a doubt for Sunday evening's La Liga clash against Barcelona.
Apr 18, 14:04
 Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham reacts on October 28, 2023
Combined XI: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Ahead of Sunday's El Clasico between Real Madrid and Barcelona in La Liga, Sports Mole chooses a combined XI from both squads.
Apr 19, 08:50
 Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring against Athletic Bilbao on March 31, 2024
How Real Madrid could line up against Barcelona
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Barcelona.
Apr 19, 15:54
 Barcelona's Raphinha celebrates scoring their first goal with Robert Lewandowski on April 10, 2024
How Barcelona could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Real Madrid.
Apr 19, 15:56
 Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their first goal with Federico Valverde and Dani Carvajal on January 14, 2024
Real Madrid handed double fitness boost for El Clasico
Real Madrid name Dani Carvajal and Vinicius Junior in their squad for Sunday night's La Liga clash against Barcelona.
Apr 20, 16:09
 Barcelona coach Xavi before the match on December 10, 2023
"The most important game" - Xavi refuses to play down importance of El Clasico
Barcelona head coach Xavi calls Sunday's El Clasico away to Real Madrid "the most important game of the season".
Apr 20, 16:33
 Barcelona coach Xavi on February 21, 2024
Barcelona missing two key players for El Clasico at Bernabeu
Gavi and Alejandro Balde will again be missing for Barcelona in Sunday night's La Liga contest with Real Madrid.
Apr 21, 09:25
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011
> La Liga Full Table


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