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Champions League
Barcelona logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Napoli logo

Barcelona
3 - 1
Napoli

Lopez (15'), Cancelo (17'), Lewandowski (83')
Christensen (19'), Yamal (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rrahmani (30')
Jesus (45+2'), Traore (63'), Olivera (67')

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona advance to the Champions League quarter-finals after beating Napoli 4-2 on aggregate in the last 16.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Barcelona and Napoli.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Barcelona and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Napoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in La Liga

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Torino
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawNapoli
48.56% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 23.38%28.06% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)63.7% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.5%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)63.17% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 48.56%
    Napoli 28.06%
    Draw 23.38%
BarcelonaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.06%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Napoli

Barcelona
69.5%
Draw
14.7%
Napoli
15.8%
367
Head to Head
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Barcelona
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> Match Report
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Barcelona
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Gavi (90+3')
> Preview
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> Preview
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