Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
61.68% ( -0.73) | 21.71% ( 0.42) | 16.61% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -1.24) | 47.41% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -1.16) | 69.62% ( 1.15) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.64) | 14.84% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.84% ( -1.22) | 43.16% ( 1.22) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% ( -0.35) | 41.77% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.77% ( -0.3) | 78.23% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |