We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
This has all of the makings of a very, very interesting game of football, and Real Sociedad will certainly believe that they are capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday. Sevilla will be hoping that the Basque side can do them a favour, but we believe that Los Blancos will shade a close match in Madrid.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.