We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
This has all of the makings of an excellent match, and we are expecting Real Sociedad to make this a very uncomfortable evening for Real Madrid. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Los Blancos will be able to navigate their way to another important three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.