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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad have found it difficult against Atletico in their recent meetings, and we are struggling to back the hosts with any real confidence here. Atletico were strong in their last game against Valencia and should have enough to pick up another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
34.49% (0.503 0.5) 29.51% (0.173 0.17) 36% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)63.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15% (-0.389 -0.39)82.85% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.058000000000007 0.06)34.59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.061 0.06)71.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.72099999999999 -0.72)33.57% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.795 -0.8)70.22% (0.79499999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.48%
    Atletico Madrid 36%
    Draw 29.5%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
18.5%
Draw
19.3%
Atletico Madrid
62.2%
135
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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