La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca
Villarreal have only won three times at home in La Liga this season, but they will be welcoming a Mallorca outfit that have just one away league success to their name in 2023-24. Mallorca are proving difficult to beat at the moment, and Villarreal are not in good form, so we can see a low-scoring draw in this contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33% . A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%) . The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Villarreal Draw Mallorca 50.33% ( 0.51) 23.16% ( -0.19) 26.51% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 59.32% ( 0.36)
58.5% ( 0.61) 41.49% ( -0.61)
36.11% ( 0.62) 63.89% ( -0.62)
83.37% ( 0.41) 16.63% ( -0.42)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 53.54% ( 0.74) 46.46% ( -0.74)
71.15% ( 0.08) 28.85% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.28% ( 0.1) 64.72% ( -0.1)
Villarreal 50.33%
Mallorca 26.51%
Draw 23.16%
Villarreal Draw Mallorca 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.33% 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.51%
How you voted: Villarreal vs Mallorca
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