Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
50.33% ( 0.51) | 23.16% ( -0.19) | 26.51% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.32% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% ( 0.61) | 41.49% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% ( 0.62) | 63.89% ( -0.62) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% ( 0.41) | 16.63% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% ( 0.74) | 46.46% ( -0.74) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( 0.08) | 28.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% ( 0.1) | 64.72% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |