Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
56.2% ( -0.57) | 22.85% ( 0.09) | 20.95% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% ( 0.22) | 45.85% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.84% ( 0.21) | 68.16% ( -0.22) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( -0.12) | 16.12% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.45% ( -0.21) | 45.55% ( 0.21) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% ( 0.6) | 36.01% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.21% ( 0.61) | 72.79% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |