La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Valladolid0 - 0Leganes
We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Leganes
Leganes may be winless in six head-to-head meetings, but they played out two draws against Valladolid last season, and we think that they may take another point off Pezzolano's side in Wednesday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.63%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
48.76% ( 0.18) | 29.47% ( -0.1) | 21.77% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 37.27% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
