Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.98%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
47.79% ( 1.32) | 29.26% ( 0.42) | 22.95% ( -1.74) |
Both teams to score 38.79% ( -2.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.45% ( -2.22) | 66.55% ( 2.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.04% ( -1.54) | 84.96% ( 1.54) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( -0.4) | 28.29% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( -0.51) | 64.02% ( 0.51) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.1% ( -3.01) | 45.9% ( 3.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.36% ( -2.45) | 81.64% ( 2.45) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 16.39% ( 1.12) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.47% Total : 47.79% | 0-0 @ 12.98% ( 1.02) 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |