Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.98%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
47.79% ( 1.32) | 29.26% ( 0.42) | 22.95% ( -1.74) |
Both teams to score 38.79% ( -2.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.45% ( -2.22) | 66.55% ( 2.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.04% ( -1.54) | 84.96% ( 1.54) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( -0.4) | 28.29% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( -0.51) | 64.02% ( 0.51) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.1% ( -3.01) | 45.9% ( 3.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.36% ( -2.45) | 81.64% ( 2.45) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 16.39% ( 1.12) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.47% Total : 47.79% | 0-0 @ 12.98% ( 1.02) 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |