Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 1Valladolid
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Derby County and Real Valladolid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Derby
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Burgos (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Real Valladolid |
39.88% ( -1.61) | 26.1% ( 0.41) | 34.02% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
