We said: Barcelona 2-0 Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid are bidding to make it back-to-back wins over Barcelona for just the third time in their history, but we are finding it difficult to side with the visitors here. Barcelona might have to be patient on Saturday, but Flick's team have enough quality to navigate their way to a fourth straight success in the new season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.