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La Liga
Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Atletico Madrid logo

Osasuna
0 - 1
Atletico


Brasanac (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Niguez (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Atletico
Thursday, January 26 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid

 Despite Osasuna having a strong home record this season, they have lost three times in front of their own fans, while Atletico have been solid on their travels, picking up 17 points from nine matches. It would not be a shock to see a home win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that the visitors could sneak a huge win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.35% (-0.55 -0.55) 25.48% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 51.18% (0.642 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)75.4% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.568 -0.57)38.24% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (-0.551 -0.55)75% (0.55300000000001 0.55)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.229 0.23)21.1% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.354 0.35)53.93% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 23.35%
    Atletico Madrid 51.17%
    Draw 25.47%
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.35%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 51.17%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Atletico

Osasuna
14.7%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
70.6%
109
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Atletico
Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')
Jun 17, 2020 9pm
Osasuna
0-5
Atletico
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412
> La Liga Full Table


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