Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.35% ( -0.55) | 25.48% ( -0.09) | 51.18% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.05% ( -0.11) | 53.95% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.09) | 75.4% ( 0.09) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% ( -0.57) | 38.24% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( -0.55) | 75% ( 0.55) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( 0.23) | 21.1% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( 0.35) | 53.93% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.35% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 51.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |