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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Atletico Madrid logo

Osasuna
0 - 1
Atletico


Brasanac (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Niguez (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Despite Osasuna having a strong home record this season, they have lost three times in front of their own fans, while Atletico have been solid on their travels, picking up 17 points from nine matches. It would not be a shock to see a home win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that the visitors could sneak a huge win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.35% (-0.55 -0.55) 25.48% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 51.18% (0.642 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)75.4% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.568 -0.57)38.24% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (-0.551 -0.55)75% (0.55300000000001 0.55)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.229 0.23)21.1% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.354 0.35)53.93% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 23.35%
    Atletico Madrid 51.17%
    Draw 25.47%
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.35%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 51.17%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Atletico

Osasuna
14.7%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
70.6%
109
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Atletico
Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Osasuna126331716121
5Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
6Athletic Bilbao115331711618
7Real BetisBetis11533119218
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10GironaGirona124351517-215
11Sevilla114341215-315
12Celta Vigo114161720-313
13AlavesAlaves124171419-513
14Real Sociedad11335810-212
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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