Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Mallorca |
47.56% ( 0.42) | 26.58% ( 0.16) | 25.86% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 47.97% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.86% ( -0.94) | 56.14% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.8% ( -0.77) | 77.2% ( 0.77) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.21) | 23.62% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0.3) | 57.71% ( 0.3) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( -1) | 37.19% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -1) | 73.98% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |