Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
51.63% ( -0.34) | 26.87% ( 0.43) | 21.5% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.91% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.54% ( -1.48) | 60.46% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.41% ( -1.13) | 80.59% ( 1.13) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0.79) | 23.64% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( -1.15) | 57.73% ( 1.15) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.19% ( -0.95) | 43.81% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.03% ( -0.8) | 79.97% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 14.93% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |