Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
36.68% ( 0.06) | 27.15% ( 0.03) | 36.17% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% ( -0.12) | 54.98% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( -0.1) | 76.25% ( 0.1) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( -0.02) | 28.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( -0.03) | 64.69% ( 0.03) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% ( -0.11) | 29.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% ( -0.13) | 65.07% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |