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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Valencia desperately need to stop their losing run, but Villarreal are a classy outfit, and we can see the Yellow Submarine securing all three points to continue their excellent start to the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
36.68% (0.058 0.06) 27.15% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 36.17% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.115 -0.12)54.98% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.096 -0.1)76.25% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.83% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.11 -0.11)29.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.135 -0.13)65.07% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 36.67%
    Villarreal 36.16%
    Draw 27.15%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
17.2%
Draw
22.4%
Villarreal
60.3%
116
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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