Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
47.64% ( 1.33) | 29.4% ( -0.75) | 22.96% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 38.48% ( 1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.05% ( 1.67) | 66.95% ( -1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.77% ( 1.11) | 85.23% ( -1.11) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( 1.54) | 28.57% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% ( 1.89) | 64.36% ( -1.89) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.87% ( 0.41) | 46.13% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.18% ( 0.32) | 81.82% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 16.5% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.43% Total : 47.63% | 0-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.84) 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |