Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.18% ( -0) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 34.79% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.43% ( -0.21) | 54.57% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.08% ( -0.18) | 75.91% ( 0.18) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.1) | 27.75% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.13) | 63.32% ( 0.13) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% ( -0.13) | 29.79% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% ( -0.16) | 65.87% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |