Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Valencia |
44.71% ( -0.18) | 32.26% ( 0.12) | 23.03% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 32.85% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
26.13% ( -0.24) | 73.87% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
10.39% ( -0.14) | 89.61% ( 0.14) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% ( -0.24) | 33.84% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% ( -0.26) | 70.51% ( 0.26) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.65% ( -0.09) | 50.34% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.1% ( -0.06) | 84.89% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 18.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.71% | 0-0 @ 17.03% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 32.25% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 23.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |