Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
45.81% ( 1.29) | 24.3% ( -0.2) | 29.89% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% ( 0.37) | 44.4% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% ( 0.36) | 66.77% ( -0.36) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% ( 0.7) | 19.52% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% ( 1.14) | 51.41% ( -1.14) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -0.54) | 27.95% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( -0.69) | 63.58% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |