Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.31%. A draw has a probability of 17.1% and a win for Villarreal has a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Villarreal win it is 1-2 (3.65%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
70.31% ( -1.6) | 17.14% ( 0.84) | 12.55% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.79% ( -2.16) | 35.21% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.77% ( -2.45) | 57.22% ( 2.44) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.05% ( -0.89) | 8.94% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.46% ( -2.2) | 30.53% ( 2.2) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.24% ( -0.27) | 39.76% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.57% ( -0.25) | 76.43% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.82% Total : 70.31% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.14% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 12.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Osasuna | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
8 | AlavesAlaves | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Leganes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
19 | Getafe | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |