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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Villarreal logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Villarreal

Valverde (14'), Junior (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Femenia (33')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid respond to their Champions League setback last week by recording a 2-0 victory over Villarreal in La Liga.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
71.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 16.64% (-0.153 -0.15) 12.3% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 56.02% (1.202 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.63% (1.242 1.24)33.36% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.85% (1.408 1.41)55.14% (-1.413 -1.41)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.68% (0.306 0.31)8.31% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.01% (0.758 0.76)28.98% (-0.761 -0.76)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (1.11 1.11)38.9% (-1.113 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (1.032 1.03)75.63% (-1.037 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.06%
    Villarreal 12.3%
    Draw 16.64%
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
2-0 @ 10% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-1 @ 7.83% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.42% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.123 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.077 0.08)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 71.06%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.64%
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.05% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 12.3%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid
85.3%
Draw
10.7%
Villarreal
4.1%
197
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-4
Real Madrid
Sorloth (39', 48', 52', 56')
Moreno (45+5'), Traore (84'), Marcelino (90+1')
Guler (14', 45+2'), Joselu (30'), Vazquez (40')
Camavinga (66'), Ceballos (86')
Dec 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
4-1
Villarreal
Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Benzema (60' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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