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St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 7
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
University College Dublin

St Patrick's
3 - 0
UCD

Forrester (16', 52'), Mulraney (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Keane (57'), Keaney (76'), Higgins (88')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, March 17 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: Bohemians 2-1 UCD
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawUniversity College Dublin
68.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 19.08%12.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 46.33% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86%12.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25%37.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.73% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.31% (0.004999999999999 0)82.69% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 68.83%
    University College Dublin 12.07%
    Draw 19.09%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 12.75%
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 6.72%
4-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-0 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 68.83%
1-1 @ 9.07%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 19.09%
0-1 @ 4.3%
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 12.07%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
1-2
St Patrick's
Duffy (60')
Timmermans (8'), Atakayi (52')
Jun 17, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
2-1
UCD
Doyle (50', 72' pen.)
Curtis (53'), Breslin (68')
Nolan (87')
Moore (72'), Caffrey (74')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
UCD
1-2
St Patrick's
Whelan (70')
Verdon (44'), Brennan (45')
McCormack (75'), Redmond (89')
Mar 14, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
2-0
UCD
Doyle (34'), Doyle (58')
(63')

(59'), Todd (87')
rhs 2.0
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