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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
55.06% ( 0.06) | 22.33% ( -0.03) | 22.6% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.76% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% ( 0.07) | 41.54% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% ( 0.07) | 63.94% ( -0.07) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( 0.05) | 15.01% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.53% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.09) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0.01) | 32.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( 0.01) | 68.51% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 22.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |