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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers will certainly pose a tough test at Oakwell and have the quality to hurt Barnsley, but the Reds do have more quality throughout their squad, and with plenty of momentum of their own, we fancy Collins's men to come out on top in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
55.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 22.33% (-0.026 -0.03) 22.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.071000000000005 0.07)41.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.071999999999996 0.07)63.94% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)15.01% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (0.086999999999996 0.09)43.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 55.06%
    Bristol Rovers 22.61%
    Draw 22.33%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bristol Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Barnsley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Mowatt (11')
Moncur (39'), Mowatt (45'), Davies (90')

Kelly (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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