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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Charlton

Martin (68', 90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tedic (85')
Campbell (24'), Jones (30'), Hector (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Bristol Rovers have lost just once at home in the league this season, but they have drawn five times, while Charlton have also recorded five draws away from home this term. We are finding it difficult to back either side with any real confidence and have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCharlton Athletic
45.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 30.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (0.044000000000004 0.04)42.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.57% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.018999999999991 0.02)18.84% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.032000000000004 0.03)50.28% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)61.36% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 45.3%
    Charlton Athletic 30.78%
    Draw 23.91%
Bristol RoversDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Charlton

Bristol Rovers
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Charlton Athletic
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Charlton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Kanu (73')
Holden (28'), Payne (57')
Sinclair (58'), McCormick (90+8')
Marquis (27'), Grant (90+2')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Charlton
Marquis (71' pen.)
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Charlton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Inniss (20')
Marquis (61', 72')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Charlton
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Shinnie (33'), Forster-Caskey (42'), Washington (84')
Shinnie (73'), Morgan (86')
Leahy (18' pen.), Upson (32')
Upson (48'), Hargreaves (78')
Day (90+3')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Charlton
Millar (64')
Oshilaja (61'), Morgan (74')
Morgan (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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