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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
59.43% ( 0.09) | 20.93% ( -0.07) | 19.63% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.94% ( 0.26) | 39.05% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.62% ( 0.27) | 61.37% ( -0.28) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.17% ( 0.11) | 12.83% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.82% ( 0.23) | 39.17% ( -0.23) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( 0.12) | 33.42% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% ( 0.13) | 70.04% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |