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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Barnsley

Port Vale
2 - 3
Barnsley

Chislett (72'), Shorrock (90+3')
Lowe (75'), Garrity (78'), Debrah (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Phillips (17'), McAtee (32', 37')
Connell (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley

Barnsley are one of the best sides on the road this season, losing just one away match so far. While Port Vale might have found their rhythm in recent matches, this test may prove too big for them against a team that has dominated them lately. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBarnsley
31.83% (0.023 0.02) 25.3% (0.155 0.15) 42.87% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.508 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (-0.666 -0.67)48.01% (0.669 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (-0.615 -0.62)70.18% (0.619 0.62)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (-0.312 -0.31)28.46% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)64.22% (0.4 0.4)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.366 -0.37)22.34% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.552 -0.55)55.82% (0.556 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 31.83%
    Barnsley 42.87%
    Draw 25.3%
Port ValeDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.158 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.87%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Barnsley

Port Vale
17.6%
Draw
5.9%
Barnsley
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Barnsley
7-0
Port Vale
Cole (23', 47', 53'), Jones (45' og.), Kitching (60'), Russell (64'), Dallas (90+6')
Styles (18'), Kane (25'), Watters (25'), Russell (72'), Roberts (89'), Shepherd (90+1')

Ojo (39'), Cass (63')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Port Vale
1-3
Barnsley
Smith (14')
Connell (1'), Kitching (21'), Phillips (61')
Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Port Vale
2-1
Barnsley
Politic (14'), Worrall (27')
Edwards (73')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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