Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.