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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City

Port Vale
2 - 4
Exeter

Chislett (31'), Dipepa (40')
Sang (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alli (57', 89'), Jules (67'), Harris (79')
Alli (7'), Watts (35'), Purrington (41'), Harris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

Port Vale will be targeting three points to boost their survival chances, but we think that the Valiants will have to settle for a draw, with Exeter currently enjoying a seven-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
37.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 25.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 37.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.026000000000003 0.03)47.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.023 0.02)69.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)59.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)25.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)59.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 37.44%
    Exeter City 37.12%
    Draw 25.43%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.12%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Aimson (72'), Scott (84')
Aimson (90+1')
Arblaster (29')
Grant (54'), Debrah (85')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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