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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
37.44% ( -0.03) | 25.43% ( -0.01) | 37.12% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( 0.03) | 47.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( 0.02) | 69.85% ( -0.02) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( -0) | 24.94% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.43% ( -0.01) | 59.57% ( 0.01) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( 0.03) | 25.12% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( 0.04) | 59.82% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
8 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |