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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
2 - 3
Bolton

Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Connolly (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Sheehan (11'), Thomason (53'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 While Bolton endured a blip versus Accrington, they have ended the season strongly, which is in sharp contrast to their hosts. With that in mind, we expect the visitors to battle their way to victory in the South West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
25.69% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 24.68% (0.122 0.12) 49.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.541 -0.54)48.85% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.494 -0.49)70.95% (0.491 0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.31500000000001 -0.32)33.39% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.349 -0.35)70.01% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)19.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.409 -0.41)51.72% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 25.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 49.61%
    Draw 24.68%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bolton Wanderers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
Coburn (2')
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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