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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Derby

Evans (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (4')
Cashin (50'), Wildsmith (60'), Forsyth (68'), Roberts (90+5'), Dobbin (90+1'), White (90+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
23.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 52.33% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)49.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 23.6%
    Derby County 52.33%
    Draw 24.06%
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.33%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Derby
4-2
Bristol Rovers
McGoldrick (5', 24', 40'), Collins (12')
Thomas (35'), Evans (45+3')
Gordon (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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