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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
65.51% ( -0.13) | 20.45% ( -0.12) | 14.04% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 47.56% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% ( 1.04) | 46.95% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% ( 0.96) | 69.2% ( -0.96) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( 0.29) | 13.51% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% ( 0.57) | 40.56% ( -0.57) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.99% ( 1.02) | 45% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.06% ( 0.8) | 80.93% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.69% Total : 65.5% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |