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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bolton
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
Williams (58'), Lee (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vela (65'), Warrington (67'), Marriott (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Bolton will certainly be disappointed by their midweek defeat, while Fleetwood arrive without pressure and in a positive run of form, but with the need for three points to remain in the top six, we back Evatt's side to just get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
53.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)55.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.012 0.01)76.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-0.012 -0.01)77.99% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.43%
    Fleetwood Town 21.14%
    Draw 25.41%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13.57%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.43%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Mendes Gomes (16')
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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