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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Aguilera (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

 Lincoln are flying at the moment, and it may take a superior side to Bristol Rovers to stop Skubala's side. The former Leeds United caretaker boss has let the shackles off in recent weeks, with the Imps posting an unbeaten record of 12 matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have little to play for and have failed to score in their last two games. We can see that changing on Saturday, but it may not be enough to prevent them from falling to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 24.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)57.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (0.037000000000003 0.04)78.32% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.8% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)39.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 24.55%
    Draw 26.71%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
80.8%
Draw
7.7%
Bristol Rovers
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Lincoln
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Poole (14')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Baldwin (46' og.)
Jackson (61'), Bridcutt (87')
Jackson (83')
Daly (48'), Hanlan (58' pen.)
Nicholson (90+5'), Tutonda (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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