MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 00:43:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge

Helm (28')
Latty-Fairweather (13'), Kirk (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Cambridge United

We expect Cambridge United to rise to the occasion and claim a vital victory over Burton Albion, who can afford to take their foot off the gas having secured their League One status for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
51.23% (1.924 1.92) 24% (-0.419 -0.42) 24.77% (-1.507 -1.51)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.553 0.55)46.73% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.518 0.52)69% (-0.52 -0.52)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.96899999999999 0.97)18.26% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (1.627 1.63)49.3% (-1.63 -1.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)33.02% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-1.047 -1.05)69.6% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.23%
    Cambridge United 24.77%
    Draw 23.99%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.332 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Cambridge United
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
May 2, 2015 3pm
Cambridge
2-3
Burton Albion
Elliott (25'), Simpson (69' pen.)
Beavon (11'), Edwards (77'), Stewart (88')
Taft (55'), Mousinho (69'), McCrory (86')
McLaughlan (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!