MX23RW : Monday, January 13 05:50:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Burton Albion

Plymouth
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Ennis (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ashworth (66'), Powell (89'), Carayol (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Burton Albion

 With so much on the line, there may be a few nerves for Plymouth on Saturday, but they have kept their cool during recent games, and we expect them to seal promotion. Burton will make things difficult for the Pilgrims, but they have lost two of their last three League One away matches, and they are unlikely to be able to get a result against the side with the best home record in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurton Albion
69.92% (0.049000000000007 0.05) 17.71% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 12.38% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)38.49% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)60.79% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (0.025999999999996 0.03)9.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.23% (0.058000000000007 0.06)32.77% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.62% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 69.91%
    Burton Albion 12.38%
    Draw 17.71%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.17%
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.62% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 69.91%
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 12.38%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Burton Albion

Plymouth Argyle
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Burton Albion
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Burton Albion
2-2
Plymouth
Kamwa (41'), Mariappa (90+7')
Oshilaja (17')
Hardie (64' pen.), Mumba (73')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
gameweek 42
Burton Albion
0-0
Plymouth

Powell (84'), Maddox (88')

Houghton (82')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
gameweek 12
Plymouth
2-1
Burton Albion
Grant (15'), Broom (43')
Scarr (60')
Akins (59')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 42
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
Broom (90+3')
Clare (19')
Hardie (69')
Watts (28'), Mayor (56'), Opoku (74')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
gameweek 5
Plymouth
2-0
Burton Albion
Jephcott (25'), Moore (47')
Watts (63'), Canavan (72')

Hemmings (58'), Daniel (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!