Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.