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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Barnsley |
27.85% ( -0.44) | 26.13% ( 0.25) | 46.02% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.76% ( -1.22) | 53.24% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.2% ( -1.04) | 74.8% ( 1.04) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66% ( -0.99) | 33.99% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( -1.08) | 70.67% ( 1.07) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( -0.43) | 23.09% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( -0.63) | 56.94% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.85% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |