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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Birmingham logo

Charlton
1 - 0
Birmingham

Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anderson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

After three straight defeats and a poor start against Bristol Rovers on Tuesday, we are expecting a response from Charlton at The Valley this weekend. That being said, Birmingham are in sensational form and should, on paper, be comfortable winners in the capital, although we believe that Blues will only manage a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
29.17% (-0.674 -0.67) 25.84% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 45% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.503 -0.5)51.41% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.442 -0.44)73.23% (0.444 0.44)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.748 -0.75)32.03% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.863 -0.86)68.5% (0.86399999999999 0.86)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.116 0.12)56.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 29.17%
    Birmingham City 44.99%
    Draw 25.84%
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.99%

How you voted: Charlton vs Birmingham

Charlton Athletic
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Birmingham City
77.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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