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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Peterborough United

Birmingham
3 - 2
Peterborough

Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Peterborough United

Scoring five goals across their last two matches, Peterborough should pose a significant threat on the counter at St Andrew's this weekend. Birmingham could have to deal with a setback if Poku is on form for Posh, although we believe that Blues will narrowly earn their sixth straight league victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
37.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)42.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)22.55% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.93%
    Peterborough United 37.64%
    Draw 24.42%
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Peterborough

Birmingham City
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
Peterborough United
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Peterborough
3-2
Birmingham
Poku (4'), Mason-Clark (11'), Kyprianou (13')
Hogan (33'), Jutkiewicz (90')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
2-2
Peterborough
Gardner (85'), Hogan (88')
Marriott (16'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Kent (45+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Peterborough
3-0
Birmingham
Dean (1' og.), Clarke-Harris (35' pen.), Grant (50')
Kent (70'), Butler (90+2')

Woods (35'), Aneke (74')
Gardner (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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