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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Peterborough United |
37.93% ( 0.02) | 24.43% ( -0.01) | 37.64% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.86% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.05% ( 0.02) | 42.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.65% ( 0.02) | 65.35% ( -0.02) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( 0.02) | 22.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.86% ( 0.02) | 56.14% ( -0.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0) | 22.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.64% ( 0) | 56.36% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |