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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Peterborough United

Birmingham
3 - 2
Peterborough

Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Peterborough United

Scoring five goals across their last two matches, Peterborough should pose a significant threat on the counter at St Andrew's this weekend. Birmingham could have to deal with a setback if Poku is on form for Posh, although we believe that Blues will narrowly earn their sixth straight league victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
37.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)42.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)22.55% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.93%
    Peterborough United 37.64%
    Draw 24.42%
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Peterborough

Birmingham City
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
Peterborough United
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Peterborough
3-2
Birmingham
Poku (4'), Mason-Clark (11'), Kyprianou (13')
Hogan (33'), Jutkiewicz (90')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
2-2
Peterborough
Gardner (85'), Hogan (88')
Marriott (16'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Kent (45+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Peterborough
3-0
Birmingham
Dean (1' og.), Clarke-Harris (35' pen.), Grant (50')
Kent (70'), Butler (90+2')

Woods (35'), Aneke (74')
Gardner (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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