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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
30.2% ( 0.01) | 25.84% ( 0) | 43.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( -0.01) | 50.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.8% ( 0.01) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0) | 31.03% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( -0) | 67.35% ( 0) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( -0.01) | 23.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( -0.01) | 56.91% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |