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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
30.2% ( 0.01) | 25.84% ( 0) | 43.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( -0.01) | 50.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.8% ( 0.01) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0) | 31.03% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( -0) | 67.35% ( 0) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( -0.01) | 23.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( -0.01) | 56.91% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |