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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wigan logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Wigan

May (18'), Wright (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aasgaard (66')
Tickle (69'), Maloney (70'), Kerr (82'), McManaman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Wigan Athletic

Birmingham have dominated proceedings in their League One matches so far this season, although that level of control has not always led to an abundance of clear-cut chances. We expect that theme to continue against a stubborn Wigan side on Saturday afternoon, when Blues should eventually find a way to break down the Latics and claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
37.76% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 26.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 35.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)54.18% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.023 -0.02)75.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.4% (0.061 0.06)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.29% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.017000000000003 0.02)65.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.76%
    Wigan Athletic 35.29%
    Draw 26.94%
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wigan

Birmingham City
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Wigan Athletic
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Wigan
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (59')
Bacuna (4')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Wigan
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Birmingham
1-1
Wigan
Jutkiewicz (2')
Roberts (71')
Powell (45')
Dunkley (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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