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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wigan logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Wigan

May (18'), Wright (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aasgaard (66')
Tickle (69'), Maloney (70'), Kerr (82'), McManaman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Wigan Athletic

Birmingham have dominated proceedings in their League One matches so far this season, although that level of control has not always led to an abundance of clear-cut chances. We expect that theme to continue against a stubborn Wigan side on Saturday afternoon, when Blues should eventually find a way to break down the Latics and claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
37.76% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 26.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 35.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)54.18% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.023 -0.02)75.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.4% (0.061 0.06)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.29% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.017000000000003 0.02)65.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.76%
    Wigan Athletic 35.29%
    Draw 26.94%
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wigan

Birmingham City
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Wigan Athletic
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Wigan
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (59')
Bacuna (4')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Wigan
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Birmingham
1-1
Wigan
Jutkiewicz (2')
Roberts (71')
Powell (45')
Dunkley (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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