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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Bolton logo

Charlton
0 - 2
Bolton


Jones (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (16'), Charles (21')
Baxter (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Charlton manager Appleton ought to get the response he is after from his side this weekend, as the Addicks never have any trouble converting their chances at The Valley, as evidenced by their unrivalled home scoring record in the third tier. However, an equally ruthless Bolton side know a thing or two about overcoming adversity on the road, and a showdown that should certainly live up to the billing could end with the two managers accepting a point apiece after an end-to-end battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
35.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 23.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 40.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)40.19% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)62.57% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.04% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75% (0.038000000000004 0.04)52.25% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 35.52%
    Bolton Wanderers 40.65%
    Draw 23.82%
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.52%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 40.65%

How you voted: Charlton vs Bolton

Charlton Athletic
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Bolton Wanderers
50.0%
18
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
Charlton
1-2
Bolton
Morgan (46')
Morley (4'), Charles (68')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Bolton
3-1
Charlton
Bradley (9'), Lee (41'), Johnston (76')
Iredale (65'), Jones (79')
Fraser (4')
Lavelle (75')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Bolton
2-1
Charlton
Charles (10'), Aimson (83')
Jones (33'), John (55'), Bakayoko (90+5')
Aneke (76')
Washington (40'), Gilbey (42'), Pearce (53'), Dobson (67')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Charlton
1-4
Bolton
Davison (12')
Lavelle (20'), Davison (31')
Afolayan (43'), Lee (73', 81'), Sarcevic (90+1')
Jones (90'), Santos (90+8')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Charlton
Clough (13')
Beevers (35'), Vela (85')
Bauer (23'), Byrne (45')
Forster-Caskey (43'), Watt (52')
Page (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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