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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Exeter City

Charlton
4 - 1
Exeter

Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Exeter City

 Charlton appear to have turned a corner with the help of Appleton's experienced management, and we can envisage them inflicting a fourth defeat in five games on their opponents. Exeter began the campaign in fine form but they have since dropped off to a large degree in recent weeks, with their natural level around mid-table likely to be coming to the fore. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
42.6% (-0.44 -0.44) 24.31% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.08% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.47% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (0.15600000000001 0.16)43.12% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (0.154 0.15)65.52% (-0.154 -0.15)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)20.39% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19% (-0.209 -0.21)52.81% (0.209 0.21)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.34 0.34)25.3% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (0.465 0.47)60.07% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 42.6%
    Exeter City 33.08%
    Draw 24.31%
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.08%

How you voted: Charlton vs Exeter

Charlton Athletic
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Exeter City
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Charlton
Green (55')
Wiggins (90')
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Exeter
Stephens (81'), Wright-Phillips (43')

Noble (35')
Nardiello (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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