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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 2
Charlton

Mitchell (31')
Stansfield (45+3'), Kite (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Rak-Sakyi (9'), Ness (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Only four points separates these two sides coming into this clash, so we can see this being a closely-fought contest. Charlton got the better of Exeter in the reverse fixture back in October, but the Addicks' away form leaves a lot to be desired, so we think the spoils will be shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
46.72%25.09%28.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08%70.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07%20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.78%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.72%
    Charlton Athletic 28.2%
    Draw 25.08%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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