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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cheltenham Town

Exeter
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCheltenham Town
50.77% (0.124 0.12) 24.89% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (-0.15 -0.15)50.8% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.133 -0.13)72.69% (0.137 0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.01% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.196 -0.2)35.6% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.205 -0.2)72.37% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 50.77%
    Cheltenham Town 24.34%
    Draw 24.88%
Exeter CityDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.77%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cheltenham

Exeter City
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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