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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
50.77% ( 0.12) | 24.89% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( -0.15) | 50.8% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( -0.13) | 72.69% ( 0.14) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.98% ( -0.01) | 20.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.79% ( -0.02) | 52.21% ( 0.02) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% ( -0.2) | 35.6% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% ( -0.2) | 72.37% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.77% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |