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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
25.2% ( 0.3) | 24.44% ( 0.11) | 50.36% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( -0.2) | 48.22% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( -0.19) | 70.37% ( 0.18) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.54% ( 0.14) | 33.46% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.91% ( 0.15) | 70.09% ( -0.16) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% ( -0.24) | 19.17% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.17% ( -0.39) | 50.83% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.2% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |