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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cheltenham
0 - 2
Fleetwood


Street (55'), Freestone (65')
Davies (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quitirna (19'), Marriott (79')
Omochere (9'), Lawal (39'), Robertson (59'), Broom (72'), Stockley (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town

 While the hosts have been very poor this season, they were arguably a little unlucky not to score in their last match, having recorded more shots on target than their opponents. The Robbins may not go on to win this match, but we feel that they will break their duck in front of goal in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawFleetwood Town
25.2% (0.296 0.3) 24.44% (0.107 0.11) 50.36% (-0.406 -0.41)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.202 -0.2)48.22% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-0.185 -0.19)70.37% (0.182 0.18)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.13900000000001 0.14)33.46% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.154 0.15)70.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (-0.241 -0.24)19.17% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (-0.395 -0.39)50.83% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.2%
    Fleetwood Town 50.36%
    Draw 24.43%
Cheltenham TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.085 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.35% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.84% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.2%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.36%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Fleetwood

Cheltenham Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Fleetwood Town
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Cheltenham
1-0
Fleetwood
May (56')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Fleetwood
0-0
Cheltenham
Vela (35'), Andrew (60'), Rooney (68'), Hayes (81'), Earl (90+6'), (90+7'), Garner (90+8')
N'Lundulu (36'), Freestone (82'), Adshead (90')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Cheltenham
2-0
Fleetwood
May (41'), Raglan (45')
Williams (57')

Nsiala (48'), Hayes (87')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Fleetwood
3-2
Cheltenham
Clarke (33'), Johnson (81'), Morris (90')
Morton (90+3')
Wright (8'), May (87')
Raglan (36'), Thomas (46'), Wright (83'), Hussey (86')
Apr 18, 2014 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Fleetwood
Cureton (32')
Richards (54')
Sarcevic (55' pen.), Morris (65')
Blair (11'), Jordan (47'), Maxwell (90')
rhs 2.0
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> League One Full Table


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