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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cheltenham
0 - 2
Fleetwood


Street (55'), Freestone (65')
Davies (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quitirna (19'), Marriott (79')
Omochere (9'), Lawal (39'), Robertson (59'), Broom (72'), Stockley (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town

 While the hosts have been very poor this season, they were arguably a little unlucky not to score in their last match, having recorded more shots on target than their opponents. The Robbins may not go on to win this match, but we feel that they will break their duck in front of goal in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawFleetwood Town
25.2% (0.296 0.3) 24.44% (0.107 0.11) 50.36% (-0.406 -0.41)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.202 -0.2)48.22% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-0.185 -0.19)70.37% (0.182 0.18)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.13900000000001 0.14)33.46% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.154 0.15)70.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (-0.241 -0.24)19.17% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (-0.395 -0.39)50.83% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.2%
    Fleetwood Town 50.36%
    Draw 24.43%
Cheltenham TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.085 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.35% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.84% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.2%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.36%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Fleetwood

Cheltenham Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Fleetwood Town
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Cheltenham
1-0
Fleetwood
May (56')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Fleetwood
0-0
Cheltenham
Vela (35'), Andrew (60'), Rooney (68'), Hayes (81'), Earl (90+6'), (90+7'), Garner (90+8')
N'Lundulu (36'), Freestone (82'), Adshead (90')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Cheltenham
2-0
Fleetwood
May (41'), Raglan (45')
Williams (57')

Nsiala (48'), Hayes (87')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Fleetwood
3-2
Cheltenham
Clarke (33'), Johnson (81'), Morris (90')
Morton (90+3')
Wright (8'), May (87')
Raglan (36'), Thomas (46'), Wright (83'), Hussey (86')
Apr 18, 2014 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Fleetwood
Cureton (32')
Richards (54')
Sarcevic (55' pen.), Morris (65')
Blair (11'), Jordan (47'), Maxwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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