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Crewe Alexandra
League One | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Swindon Town

Crewe
4 - 2
Swindon

Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
44.47%25.76%29.77%
Both teams to score 53.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54%56.46%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74%31.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39%67.61%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.47%
    Swindon Town 29.78%
    Draw 25.75%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swindon
1-2
Crewe
Doughty (63' pen.)
Dunne (34'), Woolfenden (95')
Porter (3', 45')
Green (58'), Wintle (62'), Porter (66'), Kirk (68'), Lowery (89'), Hunt (96')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
1-0
Swindon
Kirk (30')
Jones (47'), Ainley (80')

Nelson (12')
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Swindon
4-3
Crewe
Richards (3', 89'), Elsnik (66', 79')
Preston (87'), Richards (90'), Anderson (90')
Ainley (15', 29'), Wintle (51')
McKirdy (24'), Kirk (58'), Bakayogo (61'), Richards (67'), Garratt (84')
Bakayogo (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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12Stevenage30118112931-241
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24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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