Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.